Author: Jamie Thomson, Senior Risk Analyst,   Contact: For political risk analysis: [email protected] For security assessments and evacuation planning: [email protected]         DISCLAIMER: NGS cannot make any accurate warnings or guarantees […]

After launching a military operation against the northern Tigray region, the Ethiopian government has increased the risk of a long-running civil conflict and has highlighted internal ethnic divisions. Not only is the government pushing the country to the brink of civil war, but it has a number of other pressing security issues to manage, which […]

The best laid schemes of mice and men always go awry. This is something that kept going through my head in 2016, two weeks before I was about to board a plane on a beautiful spring day in Johannesburg, to start my new life in London, straight into autumn, and my first real winter.   […]

Last weekend, the tense presidential election in Guinea raised some issues that are often experienced in national election campaigns across sub-Saharan Africa. President Alpha Condé ran for a controversial third term in office, having amended the national constitution to reset presidential term limits. This has led to widespread civil unrest, which has been managed violently […]

Setting up a Global Company whilst suffering PTSD   “What they don’t know is I am about to die…”   I still vividly remember the client and the meeting room.   I was sat trying to convince them of the merits of my nascent company, NGS but the room was spinning like a washing machine, their […]

Last year, the World Food Programme (WFP) was feeding approximately 100 million people on a regular basis. In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, the number of people on the brink of starvation has risen to approximately 270 million. This month, the WFP estimated that as many as 45 million people across southern Africa are […]

The Sweden Democrats Party   In recent years, Sweden has experienced a political shift right. The historically centre-left country has been tilting further conservative in the recent decade, to the point that a far-right populist party topped opinion polls in November 2019. The party in question is the Sweden Democrats, which is now the country’s […]

Historical Background   Côte d’Ivoire has experienced three periods of civil conflict in the last 20 years, all the result of disputed elections between characters still involved in Ivorian politics. President Alassane Ouattara, prime minister in the early 1990s, and president since 2010, is campaigning for a third term in office in the lead-up to […]

Incident   Overnight on Tuesday, a fire destroyed the Greek migrant camp Moria, on the island of Lesbos. The camp, which was designed to house 3,000 people when it opened five years ago, was home to 13,000 migrants at the time of the fire. Those living at the camp are now homeless, presenting both humanitarian […]

The NGS Operations Team was contacted by a Lloyds Broker on behalf of a large international client of theirs with a patient who had recently been diagnosed with symptomatic COVID-19 in Benghazi, Libya. The patient’s condition at the time was stable, but slowly deteriorating, and an upgrade in care was urgently required. The request was […]

The pandemic has been with us for most of the year, and as the seasons begin to change again, there is a potential for the pattern of the transmission to change in some parts of the world, depending on the regional environment. This week, the World Health Organisation made the hopeful statement that it believes […]

Historic Tensions   The relationship between Greece and Turkey has been poor for centuries, dating back to the Ottoman Empire’s involvement in south-east Europe, and to the years after the First World War, in which that empire was broken up. In more recent decades, there has been a long-running disagreement over ethnically-divided Cyprus, and in […]