Peru has been engulfed by violent clashes in recent months between protestors and the pro-government military resulting in the deaths of over 60 civilians. With recent polling suggesting 82% of Peruvians disapprove of the current government’s leadership, NGS Associate Analyst, Harry Sparke, examines the nature and motivations of the protests.   Introduction   Peru’s young […]

Ecuador has been engulfed by an enduring wave of violent crime which has turned a nation once known as an “island of peace” into one of the most violent countries in Latin America. The label was brought into focus on 09 August, when presidential candidate, Fernando Villavicencio, was assassinated. Ahead of elections on 20 August, […]

The coup in Niger last week was the 13th attempted coup in Africa since 2020, bringing concerns of fresh instability to an already troubled region. Here, NGS Risk Analyst Jason Davies considers what the international reaction to the coup will mean for international travellers to Niger, and suggests some security measures.   Introduction   On […]

Far-right political parties in Europe, particularly (but not exclusively) Germany, Spain and Italy, have increased their national vote share in recent years, demonstrating a resurgence in popularity that few would have predicted 20 years ago. In his latest article, NGS Risk Analyst Jason Davies considers the impact this renewed polarisation of national politics could have […]

After nearly two weeks in which some of South Africa’s main highways have experienced violent arson attacks on domestic trucking, NGS Risk Analyst Edward Bach looks at what might be provoking the violence, and the security implications.    Introduction   Since the evening of 08 July, South Africa has been gripped by a wave of […]

With the Captagon trade becoming an increasingly vital tool for Assad, the Risk team’s latest article considers the geostrategic impact of the trade on the region and beyond.    Introduction   The Syrian Civil War, now in a ceasefire since 2020, is ongoing in a minor capacity with scattered and intermittent clashes still taking place. […]

In the early hours of Monday, Israeli forces entered the refugee camp in the Palestinian city of Jenin, which they claim is home to multiple militant groups including, Hamas, Fatah and Islamic Jihad. The incursion has resulted in more than 100 casualties, causing a mass exodus from the camp of some 3000 refugees. The city […]

The NGS Risk team produces a weekly situation report on the conflict in Ukraine. This week, NGS Risk Analyst Edward Bach also looks at the events in Russia over the weekend, and considers the implications that the Wagner Group’s actions may have on the Ukraine war.     Military   In contrast to the previously […]

Between 01 and 04 June Senegal was rocked by its deadliest wave of unrest in years in response to opposition leader Ousmane Sonko being handed a two-year prison sentence for a charge opposition activists claim is fabricated for political means. The ensuing protests have seen at least 23 people die, over 400 sustain injuries, and […]

With the Sudan conflict passing its one-month mark on the 15 May, NGS Risk Analyst, Gary Abbott, considers what the conflict means for the wider region, exploring how it could exacerbate underlying grievances and lead to increased insecurity in several countries in the Horn of Africa and those further afield.   Introduction   15 May […]

The Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 has caused many well-publicised ructions in Europe and the West. However, what is little reported are the political and security issues that have impacted on the Central Asian states of Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan. Here, NGS associate analyst James Bulbeck considers the political forecast for […]

On 14 May, Turkey will hold its most significant election in recent times, when, for the first time since his election in 2014, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan faces a realistic prospect of defeat. The presidential election will run concurrently with parliamentary elections. In 2017, a constitutional referendum approved reforms which replaced the existing parliamentary system with […]